2025 Golden Globes Awards Winners Predictions in Every Category

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Overall Oscars Commentary (Updated Jan. 1, 2025): The Golden Globes are upon us, and so begins the televised awards ceremonies that will provide an opportunity for frontrunners to emerge and dark horses to stake their claims on a year that’s as open as any in recent memory. Will that create an environment where voters spread the wealth between multiple titles?

Jacques Audiard’s Spanish-language film “Emilia Pérez” is leading the charge on the film side with a record-breaking 10 nominations, making it the most-nominated comedy/musical movie in Golden Globes history — surpassing “Cabaret” (1972) and “Barbie” (2023).

Meanwhile, Brady Corbet’s sweeping epic “The Brutalist” has a respectable seven nominations in the drama corner, while close on its heels is Edward Berger’s gripping religious thriller “Conclave,” which boasts six mentions. Both films are set to battle it out in the coveted best picture (drama) race, where it’s anyone’s guess which way the coin will land.

A friendly reminder: A Golden Globes win doesn’t necessarily secure Oscar glory. History has plenty of cautionary tales. Just ask the teams behind “1917” (2019), “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” (2017), “The Revenant” (2015), “The Social Network” (2010), and “Babel” (2006). They all snagged Globes for best picture (drama) only to lose the Oscar to “Parasite,” “The Shape of Water,” “Spotlight,” “The King’s Speech,” and “The Departed,” respectively.

On the TV side, FX’s fan-favorite “The Bear” has cooked up a robust five nominations, making it the most-nominated show this year. But don’t count Netflix out of the game, which leads for all networks and studios. The streaming giant is positioned to dominate across multiple categories in both film and TV. Beyond the possible victories for “Emilia Pérez,” Netflix’s arsenal includes the Emmy-winning limited series “Baby Reindeer,” the hilariously irreverent comedy “Nobody Wants This” and a lineup of acting contenders like Andrew Scott (“Ripley”) and Javier Bardem (“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”). If projections hold, Netflix could walk away with a jaw-dropping haul of over half a dozen wins.

The overlap of two Emmy calendars makes Globe wins a bit tricky as a barometer for awards momentum. Still, let’s not downplay the impact of a victory. A Globe trophy can be a turbo boost for any campaign (or career). Who wouldn’t want that shiny gold orb on their mantel?

The countdown is on with voters’ ballots due on Wednesday, Jan. 1, 2025. Below, we’ve laid out our ultimate Golden Globes predictions, complete with some light commentary and thoughts on a few categories.

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